StoneRoad2013's photos with the keyword: opinion poll

Now, that's interesting ... The under 30s were heavily swayed by *something* but have realised equally quickly that they had, probably, been misled ... Sadly, the 45 - 64 ages group is still lapping up the koolaide, although very recently the other age brackets seem as if they've seen the light ... too late until the mid-terms. . Not my Image : fair use & public education

With the two lowest approval ratings & highest disapproval ratings at the first opinion poll conducted after Inauguration, tRump is the most polarising of American presidents since GWBush in 2001. . Not my Image :m fair use & public education

This charts changes in individual poll and an average "poll of polls" as at 15Apr2024, prior to the UK's 2024 general election. Some interesting trends in this diagram. Produced by the BBC compiling the results of opinion polls on voting intention. The peaks, troughs and trends are responses to various events, personalities and scandals in the UK political landscape up to mid-April 2024. The UK will hold their next general election during July 2024, and it will be interesting to see if this polling trend is replicated at the ballot box. . not my image : fair use & public education

The state of the parties - after the May 2024 "local" elections - used to predict the result of a "snap" general election. Compare with other opinion polls as well as the actual results ... . Not my image : fair use & public information

The traditional "exit poll" for the BBC. This is usually reasonably accurate. [On the actual day of voting in UK elections, the BBC doesn't publish details of voting intentions until after polling stations have closed for the day]. . not my image : fair use & public information

The last Poll Tracker "Poll of Polls" published on the eve of the 2024 General Election. Legally, the BBC can't publish anything on the day of the election that could be construed as "campaigning" or "opinion" in case voters are influenced ... . FACTUAL : Not my image : Fair use & public information

Uniform change in predicted voting gives this result. Compare to the analysis using MRP Screenshot Not my image ; fair use & public information

Using MRP in predicted voting gives this result. Compare to the analysis using uniform change. Screenshot Not my image ; fair use & public information

The graph of opinion poll averages to the 1st July 2024. On this basis the predicted results would be - Con 61, Lab 470, Lib Dem 71, SNP 15, Reform 7 with a Labour majority of 290. Even allowing for "shy tory voters" and the way seats do not always fully reflect voting [or stated voting intention] in the UK, our next government will be Labour. . not my image : fair use & public information

Comparison between January 2022 and March 2023, ie pre and post the russian invasion in February 2022. Quite interesting results, some expected or predictable, others not so much. Perhaps related to which nations have been seen to be helping Ukraine ... I would love to see the "Who do Poles like" poll as a counterpoint to this ... . not my image : fair use & public nformation

Some interesting trends in this diagram. Produced by "Electroral Calculus" compiling the results of opinion polls on voting intention. The peaks, troughs and trends are responses to various events, personalities and scandals in the UK political landscape up to June 2023. The UK should hold their next general election during 2024, and it will be interesting to see if this polling trend is replicated at the ballot box. . not my image : fair use & public education

Tracking the support for cancelling large events during the Covid-19 pandemic. This is the pattern from the UK. Public opinion doesn't always follow [agree with] government policy. . YouGov are a well respected polling organisation and follow the market research industry best practice with their sampling protocols and formulating the questions. . . . Not my Image ; Fair Use & public information

The interesting results from these two poll questions from the 'i' newspaper. Personally, I don't agree with the first one, but I do agree with the second ! [and there was a delay] Not my Image ; Fair Use & public information